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Market Outlooks
Before and After: How Ukraine Changed Our Outlook
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Just when we thought the world economy was regaining its footing, a military conflict in Europe has led us to reconsider our outlook for growth and inflation.
Market Outlooks
Tectonic Shifts in the Investing Landscape
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Much like the heat from radioactive processes inside the Earth causes tectonic plates to move—sometimes in one direction and sometimes in another—the dynamic shifting of corporate winners and losers remains a constant.
Market Outlooks
10 Reasons We Still Like Industrials
This piece is approved to use with clients.
As the Ukraine conflict continues and COVID ramps up in parts of the world, it seems like all eyes are focused on supply-chain dynamics and labor shortages, which could, in theory, bode poorly for industrials—but a recent research trip abroad only solidified our view that these stocks are well positioned for growth (and deserve their overweight in our broader global equity portfolios). Here are 10 observations about industrials.
Market Outlooks
The More Things Change...
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The disappointing August jobs report was primarily due to the Delta variant, but sets up a potential goldilocks scenario for investors.
Market Outlooks
Behavioral Advisor: Don't Hesitate to Build Your Wealth
Investors often fret about the market environment and ask if they should invest now or hold off for a better time. For long-term investors, making regular contributions is more important than when the contributions are made each year.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Behavioral Advisor: Your Investments are Non-Partisan
With the election year fury reaching its apex, it is easy to believe that political outcomes in November will have a significant impact on your investments.
Market Outlooks
Advisor Perspectives: CAPE is a Very Noisy Market Predictor
Analysts have many ways to estimate expected market returns. The challenge is to identify those few that provide usable information for making investment decisions. In this article, I discuss one of the common mistakes made in this type of analysis and why the cyclically adjusted PE (CAPE), developed by Robert Shiller, is not nearly as reliable a predictor of market returns as most claim it to be.