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Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Trade issues continue to pressure stocks
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After a brief relief bounce on hopes that the U.S. might be trying to ease tensions with China, the equity market downturn resumed last week as investors left stocks for the perceived safety of government bonds. Recession-related concerns grew as the Treasury yield curve inverted, more global government bond markets traded in negative territory and poor economic data came out of Germany and China.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields fall further on global growth concerns
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U.S. Treasury yields closed sharply lower again last week, led by long maturities. By mid-week, the 2-year/10-year Treasury yield relationship inverted for the first time since 2007 and the 30-year yield closed below 2% for the first time ever.
Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: Skewed to the downside: How the trade war is shaping global market risk
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“The trade war has been one of the dominant risk factors impacting global markets basically all year, and we’re continuing to get more and more headlines,” said Eitelman. He focused on the deadline on imposing further U.S. tariffs on the final $300 billion of Chinese imports.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Trade concerns continue pressuring Treasury yields lower
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U.S. Treasury yields declined again last week, with the yield difference between the 3-month T-bill and the 10-year Treasury note inverted further. Market expectations for a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut at the September meeting are high.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Stocks have made no forward progress for 18 months
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Trade headlines dominated investor attention last week, as high levels of market volatility persisted. The S&P 500 Index fell 3% on Monday before clawing back most of those losses to end the week down 0.4%. The defensive REITs and utilities sectors fared best, while energy and financials performed worst.
Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: The China-U.S. trade war escalates. Could a recession follow?
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U.S. President Donald Trump’s Aug. 1 threat to impose 10% tariffs on the final $300 billion of Chinese imports drew a swift response from China, which devalued its exchange rate and halted all agricultural purchases from the U.S. The retaliatory measures quickly sent markets into a tailspin, with both the S&P 500® Index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average logging their steepest losses of the year on Aug. 5.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Risk-off sentiment pushes Treasury yields to fresh 2019 lows
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Deteriorating U.S./China trade relations moved Treasury yields to new lows for the year last week, led by longer maturities. The uncertainty triggered a flight to quality. The Federal Reserve (Fed) stated that it will remain patient on rates, and many are suggesting the Fed’s next move will be a rate cut.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Equities falter on continued U.S./China trade concerns
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Equities around the world were lower again last week. The S&P 500 fell 1.1%, posting its third consecutive weekly loss.1 Equities are under pressure due to expectations for a protracted U.S./China trade war that has been especially damaging to the technology sector.