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Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: What did the Fed just do? Why? What comes next?
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Last week, the Federal Open Market Committee, the monetary policymaking body of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), met and announced it was lowering the Federal Funds rate by 25 bps (the first interest rate cut in more than 10 years) to a range of 2.0% to 2.25% and ending the runoff of its $3.8 trillion asset portfolio. Before we examine why the Fed took these two very important steps to support the US economy, a bit of background.
Market Outlooks
Baby boom – Great for economic growth, but there isn’t one in sight
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At a high level, two factors drive economic growth: 1. growth in a labor force (e.g. more people working this year versus last year) 2. growth in productivity (e.g. people producing more this year versus last year). So, the basic formula for growing an economy is people + productivity = economic growth.
Market Outlooks
It seems the jobs market has been drinking a bit of JOLT
Every month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics compiles the Jobs Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (i.e. JOLTS). The JOLTS program queries 16,000 private nonfarm businesses and government entities in the 50 states and the District of Columbia on timely employment topics, including job openings, hires, and layoffs.
Market Outlooks
Welcome back, welcome back, welcome back!
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A hallmark of the Great Recession was a decline in the prime age labor force participation rate from 83% to 80%, see the chart below. While a three-point drop might not seem significant, it reflects millions of Americans walking away from the economy, giving up on ever finding gainful employment.
Market Outlooks
It’s a big birthday for the bull market, and we see a successful quest for greater gains
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Happy birthday bull market! The longest running bull market in United States history hit a major milestone last week, turning 10 on March 9. It sure has been an interesting and exciting 10 years.
Market Outlooks
Equity and fixed income return volatility
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People need no help picturing equity return volatility. Anyone invested in the equity market in the middle 2000s still likely feels the scars from the subprime mortgage crisis. Prior to that, there was the dot com burst of the early 2000s.
Market Outlooks
Bell bottoms we can dig. But a V bottom we can REALLY dig.
As we wait on the overdue return of bell bottoms to a position of fashion prominence, our attention turns to a more important, and potentially more timely, bottom – a V bottom in the stock market.
Children & College Savings
A Crash Course in Financial Maturity: 4 Lessons for Children Going off to College
Noreen Beaman, CEO of Brinker Capital, provides a list of financial lessons helpful for those going off to college for the first time.
Children & College Savings
Advisor Perspectives: Guiding Your Child to Financial Independence
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You can guide your child towards financial independence by imparting these valuable lessons.