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Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Europe Pivots from Brexit to Biden
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The President-elect says "America's back," but Europeans (and global investors) ask "how long?"
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Investor’s Guide to the Second-Most Important Economic Challenge
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After the pandemic recovery, the U.S.-China relationship will move into ever-more complicated and uncharted territory.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: We’ve got Georgia on our minds
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When one thinks of the great state of Georgia, one often thinks of the classic tune, “Georgia On My Mind,” and the late, great Ray Charles, who first recorded it in 1960 and made it famous around the world.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: The (presumed) policy implications of 11/3/2020
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While we won’t know for sure which party will control the US Senate through 2022 until Georgia decides both of its US Senate elections via a January 5, 2021 runoff, we are comfortable assuming the United States will face a divided government the next two years, with a Democrat in the White House, a Democrat-led House of Representatives, and a Republican-led Senate.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Don’t Forget the Winners & Losers that Weren’t on the Ballot
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Beyond all the victorious and defeated candidates, the U.S. election marked some fresh directions that investors need to watch.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Don’t Just Follow The Ball
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Careful investors know to look where no one else is looking. This week is no exception.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: For the market, an unpleasant, but not unexpected, September and October
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We just closed the books on a tough two months for the market, with the S&P 500 Index (S&P 500) off 3.8% in September and off 2.8% in October.
Market Outlooks
For the market, an unpleasant, but not unexpected, September and October
We just closed the books on a tough two months for the market, with the S&P 500 Index (S&P 500) off 3.8% in September and off 2.8% in October.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Choosing Trump or Biden
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Investors will benefit from supportive policy under either outcome, but the impact on specific industries is much harder to predict.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Something worth paying attention to other than the election
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What – other than the election – should be commanding investor attention these days? Our vote would be the bond market. To help put politics and the bond market in the same neat little box, we turn to renowned political consultant James Carville, who in the early 1990s said, “I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the president or the pope or a .400 baseball hitter.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: When it comes to the election, what is the market “pricing in?”
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Investors pay attention to the stock market not just because they are investing in it, but because they consider the market one of – if not the most – accurate of all leading indicators. Said differently, the market, in its infinite wisdom, will lead the real economy and will tell us where the world is headed.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Pandemic Productivity Shock
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Lockdowns will trigger cost cutting and speed technological innovation, but brace for the political tremors.