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Market Outlooks
Investment Perspective: Approaching Stall Speed
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We favor high yield bonds and natural resource stocks as inflation still shows persistence, earnings expectations deteriorate and worries mount over a stalling U.S. economy.
Market Outlooks
MarketScape: A Fed Pause in June? “An Ongoing Assessment”
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After raising its policy rate again on Wednesday, the Fed may be signaling that it’s ready for a pause. Head of Global Macro for Global Fixed Income Antulio Bomfim, Ph.D., analyzes how the Fed may make its decision and explains what investors should watch for
Market Outlooks
Volatility Faded in April, Fed and ECB Expected to Hike Rates This Week
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Market volatility declined in April as fears about the banking sector subsided. The Fed and ECB likely will look to balance inflation and economic concerns with rate moves.
Market Outlooks
The Fed hikes once more
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Tony Rodriguez summarizes the outcome of the latest U.S. Federal Reserve meeting.
Market Outlooks
Settling in for the Long Haul
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As we settle into the second quarter of 2023, we reassess our projections for the remainder of the year and analyze how these implications will affect our outlook for recession risk, central banks’ pivoting away from restrictive monetary policy sooner than expected, and corporate earnings expectations.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Opportunities for when the Fed’s recession knocks
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This anticipated environment of interest rate stability could (we hope and expect) create attractive opportunities in the taxable fixed income arena. In particular, we favor spread sectors that offer compelling yields that should avoid excessive spread widening — even during the mild recession we anticipate will occur later in 2023.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Income in the new macro regime
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Income is back as a portfolio driver as we see interest rates staying high in the new regime of macro and market volatility. We like bonds for income even if we don’t expect them to offset risk-asset slides as much as they did in the past – or gain in price from falling yields.