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Market Outlooks
Schumer’s Gambit, and Infrastructure Week
President Joe Biden is outlining a $4 trillion infrastructure plan that will include items like universal pre-kindergarten, significant investments in addressing climate change as well as tax increases to pay for this spending. In other words: items, that along with the overall size of the package, will raise the hackles of Republicans in Congress.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we still like technology stocks
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The recent bond yield spike has been blamed for pressuring tech stocks as they are seen as vulnerable to rising rates. We believe this view is too simplistic: tech is a diverse sector and the driver of higher yields matters more than the rise itself.
Market Outlooks
Congressional Review Act: Democrats Leave Key Regulatory Tool On Table—Why?
Many Democrats on Capitol Hill, and the party’s left flank, are itching to eliminate the legislative filibuster in order to get the Biden agenda into law.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Our views on Chinese assets
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Chinese stocks have sold off on concerns that China could tighten monetary and fiscal policy more aggressively – after having led the global restart and policy normalization. This took place as rising U.S. Treasury yields have pressured global risk assets.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: A strong restart, not a recovery
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We see the path out of the Covid-19 shock as a “restart” – not a typical business cycle “recovery.” The key reasons are the distinct nature of the shock, broad-based pent-up demand and different inflation dynamics.
Market Outlooks
Student of the Market: March Edition
Stay on top of changing market environments by learning from their historical parallels.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Leaning further into cyclicality
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The UK has led the developed world in the pace of its vaccine rollout, with the euro area set to catch up after a slower start. Vaccine rollouts and fiscal spending are paving the way for an accelerated global restart, reflected in a recent rise in real rates. This supports a broadening of the cyclical tilt in our tactical views, with our recent debut of a UK equities overweight and upgrading euro equities to neutral.