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Market Outlooks
Earmarks Make A Comeback
We look at the return of earmarks and how each party feels about it.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Climate transition: a driver of returns
This piece is approved to use with clients.
We are incorporating the effects of climate change – and of the climate transition – in our return assumptions, as we believe avoiding climate-related damages will help drive growth and improve returns for risk assets. We see climate-resilient sectors as potential beneficiaries of a “green” transition, and are strategically overweight DM equities as they are skewed toward these sectors.
Portfolio Construction Insights
Model Specialists Coverage Map
Get in touch with a model specialist to learn how incorporating models, as well as technology, into your practice can help make things more transparent and uncover key areas your clients want to discuss, like risk.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Downgrading government bonds
This piece is approved to use with clients.
We broaden our tactical pro-risk stance in light of major developments since the publication of our 2021 outlook in December: the vaccine rollout and up to $2.8 trillion of additional U.S. fiscal spending this year. Inflation expectations have risen sharply while real rates are steady in negative territory. We prefer equity over credit and turn underweight government bonds – in line with our strategic views.
Leveraging Technology & Data
[Webinar] Think Beyond: Building Your Business with Managed Models
The pandemic has accelerated a shift in market conditions that calls for rethinking portfolio allocations. How you respond could make a big difference for your clients and your business.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Fiscal boost is not a market risk – yet
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The prospect of another large U.S. fiscal package has fed debates about potential economic overheating. We believe central banks for now have strong incentives to lean against any rapid rise in nominal yields even as inflation rises, supporting our tactically pro-risk stance. Yet rising debt levels may eventually pose risks to the low-rate regime. This is part of why we strategically underweight government debt.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we favor tech and healthcare
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The pandemic has turbocharged transformations that were already under way – from sustainability to inequality. Yet markets have not fully priced in the durability of these trends, we believe, even with the glimpse into the future offered by the pandemic.