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Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Trough Is In—Let The Healing Begin
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While there is still a long path to recovery, global June flash PMIs confirmed we have passed the trough as contraction eased. The U.S. Employment report will be released next week, and the pressure is on for Britain and Japan to come up with a deal.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Irrelevant Election
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With voters so divided and angry, the outcome on November 3 will be consequential for many reasons—just not for the stock market.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Will Europe Waste The Crisis?
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Investors should be rooting for EU leaders as they attempt reforms that do more than just ease the immediate pain.
Market Outlooks
[Webinar Replay] From Volatility to Opportunity in Emerging Markets Debt
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COVID-19, lower oil prices and the related shock to the global economy have weighed heavily on emerging markets debt—but opportunities have emerged as well. Join us as Barings’ EMD team shares their latest market views and discusses how they are navigating the current environment.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Why Aren’t Markets Tanking?
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There’s a list of reasons that might make an investor squirm, but there may be change afoot they should watch closely.
Market Outlooks
The EM Default Picture: More Nuanced Than Headlines Imply
The coronavirus pandemic is undoubtedly creating short-term and long-term challenges for emerging
markets (EMs). But not all sovereign and corporate issuers can be painted with the same broad brush,
and placing too much weight on overly dire forecasts may result in missed opportunities.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Why June May be the Most Important Month of the Year
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We’ll have a substantially better picture of how quickly global demand may recover.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Pandemic & The “Thucydides Trap”
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Recall that when we last left our rivals, they had just struck a partial agreement on rebalancing bilateral trade even as they continued to snarl about the long list of intractable issues that divided them.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Central Banks & Cheap Oil Keep on Rollin'
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Central banks have turned accommodative as oil prices continue to decline and digital taxes on tech companies are likely to be implemented by early Spring. Watch for FOMC and BOJ meetings next week for further easing.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Fear Itself
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This is one of those moments in markets when the news and data and price monitors spill off the screen like a bad 3-D movie and mix seamlessly with shreds of personal worries.
Market Outlooks
U.S. Election 2020: An Investors’ Guide
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With the early Iowa and New Hampshire contests behind us, what’s next in the race to the White House? Dr. Christopher Smart offers insight into how investors can tune out the noise and focus on the scenarios that are already coming into view.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Metternich, Modi & Markets
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European diplomacy once centered on a theory that the best way to keep peace and stabilize financial markets was to preserve a "balance of power" that would prevent any one country from growing too strong and pushing others around. But with global supply chains—and the world's economy—under threat from epidemics, technology rifts and tariffs, President Donald Trump's efforts to balance China’s rise with a visit to India this week look very much like yesterday's answer to today's problems.