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Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: What’s driving low Treasury yields?
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Last week, we saw yields on US Treasuries reach fresh multi-month lows. The 10-year yield fell to 1.25% during the week, although it was able to finish the week modestly higher.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: No Stopping China’s Restocking
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FIFO gives China the global distribution edge across export sectors, even those that fell.
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Weekly Market Compass: Markets watch closely as variants reshape COVID landscape
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Variants emerge as a global concern
The Delta variant (B.1.617) is spreading at a rapid rate, which has caused the World Health
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: What Will Kill This Market?
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Something will at some point, but the most plausible downside scenarios still look like a stretch for this year and next.
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Weekly Macro Update: The Emerging Markets Recovery & The Race Ahead
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With the Fed’s “tapering” clock now officially ticking, many Emerging Markets face an even more urgent challenge to tackle the pandemic.
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Tech stocks’ short-term struggles may lead to long-term buying opportunities
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Technology stocks have been under pressure this year — thus far, the tech sector has been the second-worst-performing sector in the S&P 500 Index in 2021.1 However, while I don’t expect tech stocks to lead the market in performance very soon, I think there are some compelling reasons for investors with a long time horizon to treat any significant tech sell-offs as buying opportunities.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Four truths about inflation and the Fed
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Last week, investors shuddered as data showed a big rise in prices in the US and a greater-than-expected rise in prices in the eurozone. Stocks sold off, US Treasury yields climbed higher, and market pundits obsessed over inflation. I feel it’s important at this juncture to remind investors of a few truths surrounding inflation and the Federal Reserve.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Approaching Apogee
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Even as the U.S. economy rockets higher, last week's jobs miss will start to raise questions about what is a sustainable trajectory.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Coiled Spring
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Exceptional garden pinks and yellows mark the arrival of seasonal spring, but the world’s economic data outline a “coiled spring".
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Sometimes good economic news isn’t good for stocks. Here’s why we’re seeing such a moment right now.
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Well, last week was a real “meh” moment for markets as US stocks shrugged off the news of strong earnings. Certain high-profile companies reported strong results, and 86% of S&P 500 Index companies have beaten market expectations so far, with 60% of the index’s companies reporting.
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Weekly Macro Update: Time to Start Thinking About Thinking
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The Fed doesn’t need to act anytime soon, but Powell needs to reassure investors that he sees the same strong data they do.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The Bank of Canada took a hawkish turn, the Biden administration floated a tax hike proposal, and earnings season could break a record for positive surprises. Here’s a round-up of key events from the past week, and what we’re watchi
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The Bank of Canada (BOC) is starting to take away the punch bowl even though the party is still relatively young. Last week, the central bank noted that the Canadian economy has already made a significant recovery — and that there has been an accompanying rise in inflation.