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Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession: Economic Reacceleration in Perspective
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A review of the US economy with focus on inflation, and whether a recession is likely this year with Jeff Schulze, investment strategist at ClearBridge Investments.
Market Outlooks
Allocation Views
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The Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions team continue to anticipate that the cumulative effect of monetary policy tightening will have a dampening effect on economic activity.
Market Outlooks
Recession, Inflation, and Duration Considerations
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Are markets correctly pricing inflation? What flavor of recession are our economists anticipating? What roles will quality and duration play in 2023 within the fixed income asset class? Our economists discuss key questions facing investors today in our latest Macro Perspectives.
Market Outlooks
Recapping last night’s somewhat contentious State of the Union Address.
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Let’s examine the general mood of the country going into last night’s speech - and going into the Biden reelection campaign.
Market Outlooks
2023: Our U.S. Teams Weigh In
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Tightening monetary policy drove rising 10-year Treasury bond yields and pressured equity valuations in 2022. While impossible to predict what 2023 has in store—especially because interest-rate changes can have a lagged effect on corporate earnings—we asked our U.S. equity teams to weigh in.
Market Outlooks
Outlook 2023: Better Than Feared
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As we look out to 2023, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has reached its “neutral” monetary policy stance, and the European Central Bank (ECB) is not far behind. Europe has moved fast to secure fossil fuel supply away from Russia, even at higher—but stable—prices. U.S. consumer price inflation is moderating. Asynchronous reopening, with China’s consumers set to rejoin the post-COVID economy, is likely to mean more inflation volatility next year.
Market Outlooks
8 Reasons for Optimism in U.S. Stocks
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Around the world, economies are slowing, with some developed markets likely already in recession, thanks in no small part to tightening monetary policies. Nowhere is this more apparent than in the United States, where the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has moved more aggressively than in any other rate-rising period since the 1970s.