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Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Is ESG A Magic Green Button?
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Have you read any research on ESG investing recently? If you have, then you’ll know that academic studies continue to stress the positive alpha-generating potential of ESG factors.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: What to Expect from Washington this Fall
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Congress returns to Washington next week following an eventful August recess. The country endured growing trade tensions with China, a trio of tragic mass shootings in Texas and California and a catastrophic hurricane, which has wreaked havoc in the Bahamas and now threatens Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Contrarian Market Signals: What is certain about uncertainty?
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Contrary to narratives bombarding the markets right now, certain indicators are historically very bullish for equity assets. Though the anxiety about the flock of “black swans” being right around the corner helps to mitigate over exuberance, it astonishes me how many times we forget the previous prognostications and make new cases for the failed projection. Recently, I have been reflecting on Mark Twain’s quote: “I've had a lot of worries in my life, most of which never happened.”
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Look Beyond the Volatility to Find Return
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Periods of volatility in fixed income and equity markets are nothing new but with each one comes a parade of teeth gnashing and hand wringing by experts extolling the virtues of selected investments while simultaneously predicting events often referred to as being much more dire than those we are experiencing at the moment. It seems, more often than not, that such bold predictions make for good headlines but rarely for investment results.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: In Washington this Fall, Plenty of Whimpers and a Possible Bang
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In The Hollow Men, poet T.S. Eliot famously said the world would end “not with a bang but with a whimper.”
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: The Japanification of the Global Economy
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The state of global interest rates is sinking quickly. Negative interest rates have now engulfed over $15 trillion of global sovereign debt with nearly 30% of all developed country sovereign debt having a negative yield.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: On Data Privacy, Look to the States
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As data breaches dominate news cycle after news cycle – at a seemingly exponential rate – have federal policymakers started to pay attention to the issue?
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Reasonable Municipal Downgrades?
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For the past several months, the rating agencies have been imposing new standards in the ratings of municipal revenue bonds by imposing ceilings on these ratings linked to the issuer’s general obligation (GO) pledge. This has resulted in downgrades of some well-known, and not-so-well-known, issuers despite no change in the fundamental credit profile of the revenue bond, or the related general obligation bond, issuer. In fact, some of these downgrades occurred in the face of an improving credit profile.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: The Impact of Labeling China a Currency Manipulator
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While many Americans have been Googling the term “currency manipulation” over the last two days, one White House adviser has been enjoying the spoils of victory after a nearly decade-long policy fight.