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Market Outlooks
Navigating market risks and opportunities ahead of a recession
With increasing economic uncertainty and market volatility in the first quarter of 2023, the probability of a mild recession beginning in the second half of the year or early next continues to rise.
Market Outlooks
AOR Update: Bank crisis recalibrates the Fed’s path
The evolution of risks to financial stability will be a key factor into the Fed’s near-term thinking above and beyond their goal of achieving the dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment.
Market Outlooks
Silicon Valley Bank Collapse
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The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) over the weekend, the biggest bank failure in U.S. history after Washington Mutual in 2008, seemingly caught both regulators and markets off guard, and triggered fears of contagion across the global banking sector. In response, on Sunday night (March 12), U.S. policymakers (the Treasury Department, the Federal Reserve, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation) announced emergency measures to shore up the U.S. banking system.
Market Outlooks
Muni Bond Update: Credit Quality Still Looks Strong
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While 2023 has started on shaky ground for the municipal bond market, there are reasons to be optimistic for more stability ahead, according to Jennifer Johnston, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income’s Director of Municipal Bond Research.
Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession: Economic Reacceleration in Perspective
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A review of the US economy with focus on inflation, and whether a recession is likely this year with Jeff Schulze, investment strategist at ClearBridge Investments.