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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Seizing new regime opportunities
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We see the new regime of greater volatility playing out: higher interest rates, stagnating activity and structural forces set to push inflation back up. Flip-flops in the market narrative make that clear.
Market Outlooks
Student of the Market: September 2023
Stay on top of the changing market environments by learning from their historical parallels.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: New regime fuels narrative flip flops
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We‘re in an unprecedented macro environment that is driving constant shifts in the market narrative: from hopes of avoiding recession to fears good macro news could be bad for markets in just a few months. We see the market moving with data as if we’re in a normal business cycle.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Favoring short-term bonds long term
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Sovereign bond yields have surged this year, with U.S. long-term yields hitting 16-year highs last month. We prefer short-term government bonds over credit. We go underweight high quality credit on a strategic view of five years and longer and trim our overall underweight to sovereign bonds.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Primary Debates Past and Present
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With apologies for being the bearer of bad news, the 2024 election is upon us. Officially. Tonight marks the first Republican primary debate of the presidential election cycle...
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Are “Junk Fees” A Winning Election Issue?
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If July was Republicans’ “ESG Month,” August (and potentially everything after, at least until next November) might just be Democrats’ “Junk Fee Month.”
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Three takeaways from U.S. earnings
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U.S. corporate earnings have stagnated over the past year even as Q2 earnings improved a bit on better profit margins.
Market Outlooks
Quick Thoughts: Artificial intelligence—A primer
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Looking at the potential benefits, risks and societal changes of artificial intelligence from an investment lens with Stephen Dover, Head of Franklin Templeton Institute.