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Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: A region-by-region look at our expectations for the remainder of 2020
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The first half of 2020 has been unexpected, to say the very least. Our outlook for the year quickly became obsolete with the rapid spread of COVID-19 and accompanying lockdowns across the globe, which have stymied economic activity and caused an unprecedented destruction of demand.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Evaluating the positive and negative signs over the past week
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Two weeks ago, I wrote about some burgeoning “green shoots” that offered early, encouraging signs of economic recovery around the world.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Powell pledges to support the economy, but notes more Congressional help may be needed
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Last week saw a massive sell-off for stocks globally. The initial trigger seems to have come from US Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell’s press conference following the June 9-10 meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Encouraging signs were seen in job creation, manufacturing and service activity, and auto sales
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The last time I used the term “green shoots” was the late spring and summer of 2009.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The WPA put millions back to work during the Great Depression. Could this be a model for 2020 and beyond?
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Unemployment rates for many countries are sky high and likely to remain high for some time.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: US-China tensions could be the biggest risk to US stocks this year
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In the last several weeks, stocks have exhibited weakness and higher volatility. I am convinced that rising US-China tensions are behind this, and that the potential for a reignition of the US-China tariff war could be the single biggest risk to the US stock market this year.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Some countries and states are easing lockdowns, while politicians debate what to do next
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One month ago in this blog, I noted that April would be a critical month to gauge the global response to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Market Outlooks
The Government Responds with Extraordinary Measures
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The Federal Reserve and Washington lawmakers have taken dramatic steps to counteract the effects of the COVID-19 virus on the economy.
Market Outlooks
Second Quarter 2020 Quarterly Market Update
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Fidelity's Asset Allocation Research Team (AART) examines major themes in global financial markets and presents its investment outlook in this quarterly market update.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Congress readies for negotiations over the next stimulus bill, while governors decide when and how to re-open state economies
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For months, I have talked about the importance of policy in combatting the COVID-19 crisis: health policy, monetary policy, and fiscal policy.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The Federal Reserve unveils more tools to help the US economy while Congress debates its next step
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A great deal of news has been announced over the last week, and it can be difficult to determine what’s the most meaningful for markets. Here are the items I’m focused on this week.
Market Outlooks
View of the Business Cycle by Fidelity's Asset Allocation Research Team
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A review of the current state of the U.S. business cycle and the effects of the spread of COVID-19, as well as the potential implications for asset allocation.