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Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Israel may provide a preview of what’s to come in the US and UK — and in any country that achieves broad vaccine distribution.
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A month ago, I wrote about the great progress Israel was making in terms of inoculating its citizens against COVID-19. At the time, I said that we would want to follow economic data in Israel closely for indications of what the US and UK could expect in the near future — as they are making swift progress in vaccinating their respective populations — as well as what any country can expect once it successfully vaccinates a significant portion of its population.
Market Outlooks
Schumer’s Gambit, and Infrastructure Week
President Joe Biden is outlining a $4 trillion infrastructure plan that will include items like universal pre-kindergarten, significant investments in addressing climate change as well as tax increases to pay for this spending. In other words: items, that along with the overall size of the package, will raise the hackles of Republicans in Congress.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Investors may be grateful for the Fed’s easy money, but they’re also wary about what might come next.
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If you had to quickly describe the relationship status between investors and the Federal Reserve, your best bet might simply be: “It’s complicated.”
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The economy may not truly turn the page until spring
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It might be 2021, but it doesn’t feel like a new year in many parts of the world. We haven’t yet turned the page on all the difficulties of the past year, so it seems like we are stuck in 2020. Or as my colleague aptly put it, this is just Dec. 49, 2020.
Market Outlooks
Congressional Review Act: Democrats Leave Key Regulatory Tool On Table—Why?
Many Democrats on Capitol Hill, and the party’s left flank, are itching to eliminate the legislative filibuster in order to get the Biden agenda into law.
Portfolio Construction Insights
Portfolio Diagnostic Report: Recover Wisely - Be Global, Be Picky
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Despite a violent COVID-driven correction in the first quarter of 2020, markets responded with a rebound throughout the remainder of the year and returns were primarily positive across asset classes. The 2021 Janus Henderson Market GPS Investment Outlook suggests cautious optimism for performance outcomes while exhorting investors to diversify in order to mitigate outlier risks.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Seven reasons I expect a powerful US economic recovery in 2021.
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I periodically walk into stores to get a sense of how the US economy is doing. This past weekend I walked into a car dealership in my area. I chatted with a car salesman who has worked in the industry for more than 50 years. He shared that this is a very strange economic environment — car purchases have increased (he had already sold four cars that day), but so have the number of people stopping by to see if there are any job openings, who say they’ve been out of work for six or nine months.
Portfolio Construction Insights
Shifting Gears - Moving to a Goals-Based Fixed Income Strategy
For traditional fixed income investors, much of the last 40 years have been a relatively enjoyable ride. This benefit has slowly evaporated over the past 10 years, as rates have plunged to near zero and now extreme market turmoil from the COVID-19 pandemic has put investors at a crossroads: high-quality, traditional fixed income will always be a crucial bedrock for investment portfolios but emerging from this crisis with extremely low – or even negative – government bond rates means this “insurance” might become more expensive. It’s no wonder, then, that many investors are viewing the fixed income implications of the COVID-19 crisis as existential.
Market Outlooks
Webcast: Innovation is Eating the World … Faster
Fuel has been thrown on the flame of many of the secular trends that were driving market returns prior to COVID-19, dramatically accelerating the adoption of these themes. E-commerce, digital media and medical technology, to name a few, are trends creating opportunities for forward-thinking investors.