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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Quick Thoughts: Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) Failure Ripples Through the Market
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Here’s an update on the latest news involving SVB and the implications for the Fed and markets, from Stephen Dover, Head of Franklin Templeton Institute.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
PodCast: Episode 34: Revenge of the Old Economy
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Low interest rates and a focus on being green led to significant underinvestment in the old economy. Netflix rose and Exxon fell. But we’re now beginning a rotation away from the new economy back to the old, says Jeff Currie, global head of commodities research at Goldman Sachs. In this episode of The Active Share, Jeff tells Hugo how he sees the future of energy, from green tech to oil, from the east to the west—who will win, who will lose, and how investors can prepare.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China: Reopening Should Drive Growth
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After a year of anemic growth—by China’s standards—we expect a recovery in Chinese economic activity to gradually take place in 2023. The government has abandoned its zero-COVID policy and re-pivoted to growth, and the reopening, combined with a benign inflationary environment that gives China’s policymakers room to increase stimulus, we believe is a reason for optimism in 2023. That said, major policy questions and geopolitical risks cloud the outlook.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Quick Thoughts: How to avoid making a unicorn skeleton
Curated content for RIAs.
Stephen Dover, Head of Franklin Templeton Institute, crunches the data to decipher the odds of a US recession this year and the implications for investor portfolios.
Behavioral Finance
Market Perspective: There are No Rewards Without Risk
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2022 reminded investors of the risk from investing, but none of this makes losses palatable. As the old axiom goes, “there are no rewards without risk.” Here's perspective from Marta Norton, CIO, Americas, Morningstar Investment Management LLC.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Investment Perspective: A Narrowed Path
Two roads diverged in a central bank wood – and the Fed took the one less dovish.
Investing Ideas
As ETFs Boom, Trading Strategies Matter in a Volatile Market
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Capital markets haven’t been an easy road for investors to navigate in 2022, due to a bear market, red-hot inflation and rising correlations that have hampered diversification. Traditional safe havens for long-term investors have struggled too, with cash and Treasuries facing a rising-rate environment alongside historically high levels of market volatility. This uncertainty is one of the reasons behind what could be a record-breaking year in trading volume for exchange-traded funds (ETFs) due to their ability to provide investors with access to a wide variety of market sectors, attractive liquidity and low fees. In addition, many investors are using this vehicle for its tax-loss-harvesting properties as 2022 draws to a bumpy close. All of these benefits have led to a flurry of activity within ETF trading, with one sector in particular— actively managed ETFs—seeing a notable surge in popularity.