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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
3 Points About China
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Clamping down on China has become a bipartisan effort in the United States, but I believe an outright conflict between China and Taiwan is a low-probability (albeit high-impact) event—and I remain constructive on the bottom-up, long-term investment opportunities in China, including the transition to a domestic-consumption-driven and lower-carbon economy.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
The Active Share: Are Microchips the New Oil?
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Microchips are the building blocks of the modern economy, but what are the geopolitical implications of this new power player?
Fixed Income Insights
Jackson®: Power Planning: The Multi-Generational Benefits of Trust-Owned Annuities
Today’s global economy and volatile markets create challenges for trustees who are tasked with driving growth, preserving capital, and managing the everpresent sting of taxes and expenses in trust–owned portfolios. Did you know that trusts can benefit from the same features that individuals find in annuities? Namely, tax deferral,* income control, and diversified investment options. On the next few pages, we’re going to walk through three phases of trust planning (accumulation, distribution, and post-death planning) and show the many ways that a trust-owned annuity can be a powerful planning tool.
Fixed Income Insights
Mortgage-backed securities: Priced for imperfection?
Curated content for RIAs.
Head of U.S. Securitized Products John Kerschner and Portfolio Manager Nick Childs explain why they believe key risks are now largely priced in to fixed income markets, with selective areas – particularly mortgage-backed securities (MBS) – presenting an opportunity to provide favorable rick-adjusted returns.
Fixed Income Insights
Research in Action: Banks cash in on rising rates
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Portfolio Manager and Research Analyst John Jordan says rising interest rates, large capital reserves, and secular tailwinds are helping to bolster the financials sector despite an uncertain economic outlook.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
PodCast: Episode 34: Revenge of the Old Economy
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Low interest rates and a focus on being green led to significant underinvestment in the old economy. Netflix rose and Exxon fell. But we’re now beginning a rotation away from the new economy back to the old, says Jeff Currie, global head of commodities research at Goldman Sachs. In this episode of The Active Share, Jeff tells Hugo how he sees the future of energy, from green tech to oil, from the east to the west—who will win, who will lose, and how investors can prepare.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China: Reopening Should Drive Growth
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After a year of anemic growth—by China’s standards—we expect a recovery in Chinese economic activity to gradually take place in 2023. The government has abandoned its zero-COVID policy and re-pivoted to growth, and the reopening, combined with a benign inflationary environment that gives China’s policymakers room to increase stimulus, we believe is a reason for optimism in 2023. That said, major policy questions and geopolitical risks cloud the outlook.