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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
What's Driving U.S. Dollar Strength
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As of mid-October, the U.S. dollar was trading at levels not seen since the early 2000s, when the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), under then-chairman Alan Greenspan, was raising interest rates to respond to a rapidly growing economy. In the past year, the U.S. dollar index, which compares the dollar with a basket of currencies, has risen more than 20%, the largest 12-month increase since 2015.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
A Step Ahead: Everyone's Quitting Their Jobs. Good!
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Olga and Hugo explain why the Great Resignation is the wrong story to describe what’s happening in the U.S. labor market. Job turnover is a welcome sign for the economy, and wage increases for low-income workers can boost economic growth.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Ready, set...
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Rate normalization is almost a go.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Maybe markets should forget about 'transitory'
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Stubbornly higher inflation doesn't mean the Fed's wrong ... yet.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
The inflation dilemma
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Should the Fed be more concerned?
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Pumpkin spice popcorn ... m'm, m'm, m'm
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The race could tighten but whatever happens, the market should be fine.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Looking forward
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The Fed sharpens its new policy framework with strong forward guidance.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Is there a limit to government spending?
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A growing federal deficit could be concerning if inflation starts to heat up.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
6 reasons yields may stay range-bound
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It starts with the Fed.