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Fixed Income Insights
Global Policy Rates Stuck in Lockdown
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What does the new fixed income environment look like as the global economy slowly starts to rebuild?
Fixed Income Insights
Yield Curve Steepening Likely to Continue
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We expect economic data to improve going into the summer, so we anticipate continued Treasury yield curve steepening.
Fixed Income Insights
Pandemic Pressures Municipal Bond Issuers
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While we expect muni downgrades, the market is likely to remain high quality, with low defaults relative to other bond types.
Fixed Income Insights
Securitized Credit May Be Poised to Rebound
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Securitized credit has lagged the rebound in other assets, but T. Rowe Price believes that areas could outperform as the economy reopens.
Goals/Needs-Based Investing
Inflation and the Merits of an Outcome-Based Strategy
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We save today to spend tomorrow, and at heart, our investments are meant to help increase our future purchasing power. To do so, our returns need to outpace inflation, which can be particularly challenging in uncertain times.
Join Andrew Lill, Americas CIO, and Marta Norton, head of Outcome-Based Strategies, who discuss our current views on inflation and how we design some portfolios to target inflation-plus returns.
Fixed Income Insights
May 2020 Fixed Income Market Update
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In our view, the markets feel much healthier at the end of April than a month ago, but underappreciated in the improved sentiment is not only the scale of March policy action, but its continuation into April. Actions announced in April would ordinarily have remained in headlines and discussion for weeks, but the nearly half trillion dollar U.S. fiscal stimulus package has been treated almost as a footnote to its much larger cousin in March. Similarly, Fed and other central banks not only continued to implement the massive programs initiated last month, but significantly expanded on them.
Fixed Income Insights
Municipal Yields Have Converged
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Over the past several weeks, yields between short- and intermediate-term Municipal Bonds have converged. This may be an opportunity for investors to significantly reduce interest rate risk while sacrificing minimal income since shorter-term bonds typically have less sensitivity to rates.
Fixed Income Insights
Neither bulls nor bears last forever
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While bull markets don’t last forever, neither do bear markets. Since 1928, the strength and duration of S&P 500® bull markets has meaningfully outweighed that of bear markets.
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Goals/Needs-Based Investing
It’s personal: The growing need for financial wellness programs
78% of Americans are living paycheck to paycheck, 43% of student loan borrowers are not making payments and nearly half of all employees can’t cover a $400 emergency. In an effort to help employees understand and improve their personal financial health, many plan sponsors and their advisors are turning to workplace financial wellness programs. Phyllis Klein is a senior director at Captrust Financial Advisors, a firm that specializes in institutional advisory work. In this episode, Phyllis discusses the benefits and challenges of helping employers implement financial wellness programs for their employees.
Fixed Income Insights
Did the Fed just go Minority Report?
We believe the Fed is taking a risk — one we hope works — in shifting from reactive to preemptive monetary policy. It was not that long ago that the Fed was more forthright about the uncertainty inherent in economic forecasting as Chairman Powell used the analogy of walking into a dark room and slowing down to avoid furniture as an analogy for the Fed’s situation. Today, they seem more certain that they know the future and aim to alter it.