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Portfolio Construction Insights
Economy and Markets: An Ongoing Disconnect
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Capital markets have improved, but complacent investors may be overlooking still-challenging economic fundamentals.
Fixed Income Insights
Yield Curve Steepening Likely to Continue
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We expect economic data to improve going into the summer, so we anticipate continued Treasury yield curve steepening.
Fixed Income Insights
Pandemic Pressures Municipal Bond Issuers
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While we expect muni downgrades, the market is likely to remain high quality, with low defaults relative to other bond types.
Portfolio Construction Insights
The Challenge of Complacency
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Capital markets appear to have stabilized and improved, but complacent investors may overlook ongoing challenges.
Fixed Income Insights
Securitized Credit May Be Poised to Rebound
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Securitized credit has lagged the rebound in other assets, but T. Rowe Price believes that areas could outperform as the economy reopens.
Fixed Income Insights
May 2020 Fixed Income Market Update
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In our view, the markets feel much healthier at the end of April than a month ago, but underappreciated in the improved sentiment is not only the scale of March policy action, but its continuation into April. Actions announced in April would ordinarily have remained in headlines and discussion for weeks, but the nearly half trillion dollar U.S. fiscal stimulus package has been treated almost as a footnote to its much larger cousin in March. Similarly, Fed and other central banks not only continued to implement the massive programs initiated last month, but significantly expanded on them.
Fixed Income Insights
Municipal Yields Have Converged
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Over the past several weeks, yields between short- and intermediate-term Municipal Bonds have converged. This may be an opportunity for investors to significantly reduce interest rate risk while sacrificing minimal income since shorter-term bonds typically have less sensitivity to rates.
Fixed Income Insights
Neither bulls nor bears last forever
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While bull markets don’t last forever, neither do bear markets. Since 1928, the strength and duration of S&P 500® bull markets has meaningfully outweighed that of bear markets.
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