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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
An End to the Build Back Better Saga?
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After more than a year of intraparty negotiations, Democrats are on the cusp of enacting the Inflation Reduction Act.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
MarketScape: A 50/50 U.S. Recession Risk
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Chief Investment Strategist Jim McDonald examines the economic risks investors face.
Fixed Income Insights
Municipal Bonds: 2023 U.S. States Outlook
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Revenue above expectations, pandemic federal aid and reserves have strengthened states' financial outlook. But states will need to prepare as pandemic aid winds down and the economy slows.
Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #2: USING PROBABILITIES TO AVOID THE LOSERS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO
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Probability plays a key role in many aspects of everyday life, yet many people fail to understand the math that guides it.
Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #1: AN INTRO TO NEW AGE ALPHA
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There is a risk inside your portfolio that you are unaware of that leads to loss and you don’t get paid for taking it.
Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Investment Perspective: Less Growth, More Inflation
With no end to Russia’s attack on Ukraine in sight, energy and agriculture are feeling the strain.