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Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Risk-off sentiment drives Treasury yields lower
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U.S. Treasury yields declined last week, led by longer maturities. Risk sentiment deteriorated, with investors concerned about a potential no-deal Brexit, rising coronavirus cases and waning prospects for additional U.S. fiscal stimulus. This week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting is not expected to result in any policy shifts, but the Fed could extend the maturity of its Treasury purchases.
Behavioral Finance
[Webinar Recording] How to Build Wealth with a Behavioral Approach to Portfolio Construction | Webinar 2
Behavioral finance principles can be applied to an Advisors practice to help clients remain invested and focused on the long-term, while avoiding behavioral mistakes that can destroy their wealth.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise on prospects for stimulus
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Long U.S. Treasury yields increased sharply last week, while shorter-maturity yields were little changed. Prospects for additional U.S. fiscal stimulus, boosted by weaker-than-expected employment data, provided investors with hope that a new federal aid package would lift future growth. Concerns remain over short-term virus-related challenges, however.
Fixed Income Insights
The Shape of Credit
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In this Q&A, Portfolio Managers Jason England, Nick Maroutsos and Dan Siluk discuss the factors shaping credit markets, from central bank support to potential resilience from financials.
Key Takeaways
- Corporate earnings and cash flows are under strain, but while defaults are likely to increase, they should continue to be largely contained to sub-investment-grade issuers.
- Massive and proactive central bank support measures have injected confidence into markets, but this does not preclude sporadic bouts of future volatility and warrants a selective approach.
- We believe more resilient opportunities are likely to be found in higher-quality, shorter-dated investment-grade issues and continue to favor financial sector bonds and corporates with defensive attributes.
Fixed Income Insights
Building Bond Portfolios on a Strong Housing Market
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Conventional wisdom would suggest that rising unemployment would have discouraged consumers from making large contractual obligations like buying a new home, but the pandemic has affected the way many Americans think about housing. Portfolio Managers John Kerschner and Nick Childs discuss why this is happening and what it could mean for bond investors.
Fixed Income Insights
A Mostly Benign Outlook for U.S. Inflation
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The stabilization of U.S. economic growth amid unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus has raised questions about the likelihood of inflation returning. Global Head of Fixed Income Jim Cielinski explains why he does not see significant risk of sustained higher inflation materializing in the next few years – but cautions that short-term spikes are possible and that investors should evaluate the diversification that their fixed income portfolios provide.
Fixed Income Insights
ISG Insight: A mostly benign outlook for US inflation
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The stabilisation of US economic growth amid unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus has raised questions about the likelihood of inflation returning. Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income, and Andrew Mulliner, Global Bonds Portfolio Manager, both members of the Fixed Income ISG, explain why they do not see significant risks of sustained higher inflation materialising in the next few years, though caution that short-term spikes are possible and investors should evaluate the diversity that their fixed income portfolios provide.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Positive risk sentiment buoys Treasury yields
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Long U.S. Treasury yields ended modestly higher, while shorter maturity yields were nearly unchanged to slightly lower. Investors were optimistic about continued progress toward a coronavirus vaccine and an orderly transfer of U.S. political power. In reference to its asset-purchase programs, the Federal Reserve (Fed) acknowledged, “…circumstances could shift to warrant such adjustments.”