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Behavioral Finance
The Future of Risk Preferences & Goals-Based Planning
Risk preferences are an important part of the financial planning process, but it needs to be considered against goals. Goal setting is where the magic happens. Risk capacity, risk required and risk reactivity are all pivotal inputs in a goals-based framework.
Fixed Income Insights
October Fixed Income Market Update
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In our view, while economic data has been generally improving, higher frequency data such as elevated jobless claims and small business employment highlight the risk that the recovery could stall absent additional fiscal stimulus. Given tensions and political posturing entering the last stages of election season, short-term we believe risk premiums should be higher on the margin until resolution of the election.
Fixed Income Insights
Interest rates: Lower for longer...or forever?
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On September 16, 2020, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates near zero and signaled that it expects to hold them there through at least 2023, adding outcome based guidance. The statement follows the new long-term policy framework announced by Chair Jay Powell in August at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s annual Jackson Hole conference. The Fed notes that rates will remain near zero “until labor market conditions have reached levels consistent with the Committee’s assessments of maximum employment and inflation has risen to 2 percent and is on track to moderately exceed 2 percent for some time.” We didn’t get a precise definition of what a moderate overshoot would look like, allowing the Fed to retain some flexibility.
Fixed Income Insights
Fixed Income Market Update - September 2020
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In our view, in a landscape of improved risk sentiment and strong demand for yield, U.S. corporates appear attractive even noting the recompression of spreads since the first quarter. While corporates have retraced a significant portion of their year to date widening, other sectors and asset classes have gone further, leaving corporates relatively well positioned.
Fixed Income Insights
Fixed Income Market Update
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In our view, monetary and fiscal policy have done a tremendous job in papering over fundamental uncertainty. Read more for the news & nuggets
Fixed Income Insights
Municipal Fixed Income: Bluebirds fly
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We focus on the strong recovery in the muni market over the second quarter, which proved to be illuminating to municipal investors on a couple fronts.
Behavioral Finance
Creativity, economics and life with Russ Roberts
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For many, economics is viewed only through the lens of numbers. But what can economics teach us about planning and making life decisions?
Russ Roberts joins the podcast to discuss the intersection of economics and life. From embracing uncertainty to evaluating financial tradeoffs, Russ will help broaden your perspective and apply economic principles to your clients’ daily lives.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Lessons in Difficult Times
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Even in the best of times, investing can be challenging. Ryan Murphy, Morningstar Investment Management head of Decision Sciences, discusses how, in difficult times, it can be helpful for investors to take pause.
Behavioral Finance
How Can Investors Make Better Decisions Under Stress?
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Market dips and dives can feel like punches at times, and all investors need to balance emotions like fear and regret with decision-making. Hear insights on what investors can do for themselves to avoid decision pitfalls.
Fixed Income Insights
May 2020 Fixed Income Market Update
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In our view, the markets feel much healthier at the end of April than a month ago, but underappreciated in the improved sentiment is not only the scale of March policy action, but its continuation into April. Actions announced in April would ordinarily have remained in headlines and discussion for weeks, but the nearly half trillion dollar U.S. fiscal stimulus package has been treated almost as a footnote to its much larger cousin in March. Similarly, Fed and other central banks not only continued to implement the massive programs initiated last month, but significantly expanded on them.