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Behavioral Finance
We Don’t Have to Have a Recession
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There is not a “natural” economic reason for this expansion to end.
Behavioral Finance
Long-Term is Longer Than You Think
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Investment time horizon is a critical concept in building wealth. Most investors have very long investment time horizons, typically decades or more.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: Everything You Always Wanted to Know About Gerrymandering But Were Too Afraid to Ask
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The U.S. Supreme Court issued a flurry of decisions last week as it closed its 2018-2019 session. While its ruling rejecting the Trump administration’s rationale for a U.S. Census citizenship question will have important repercussions for representation across the U.S., another case also could impact the partisan balance in the lower chamber of Congress … unless voters in a handful of states get a say about it.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: Fed Bashing - A White House Tradition
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James Carville, a strategist to then-Gov. Bill Clinton’s insurgent 1992 campaign for the presidency, famously – and succinctly – captured the essence of the race for the White House with the phrase “it’s the economy, stupid.” As we begin the march towards the twenty-eighth anniversary of President Clinton’s defeat of President George H.W. Bush, Carville’s truism still holds.
Behavioral Finance
Looking Past the Headlines
We are experiencing a new peak in the rhetoric around trade, geo-politics, the economy and the business cycle. We have also seen increased market volatility.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: Congress Takes a Break
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Ah, spring break. It’s not only college students who long for a few lazy days come March and April. Congress adjourned last week and now is in the middle of a two-week “district work period,” which most politicos refer to instead as recess. Unlike the students who flock to Miami, though, lawmakers likely aren’t sitting by the pool or even resting much.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: Why Invest Now? A Tale of Three Investors
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“Now’s not a good time to invest,” or “I’m waiting for the right conditions” are familiar refrains we hear from investors and advisors alike. Fortunately for long-term investors who don’t take regular withdrawals from their portfolios, the sequence of returns doesn’t affect the ultimate investment outcome.
Behavioral Finance
Behavioral Advisor: Does the Economy Predict Stock Returns?
Investors, economists and the media spend an enormous amount of time and energy trying to forecast the economy. The idea is that forecasting economic growth will give us an idea of where the stock market is headed. Surprisingly, no predictive relationship exists between current economic conditions and the current stock market.
Behavioral Finance
Keeping Emotions in Check – A Historical Guide to Market Volatility
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One of the biggest challenges in investing is to stay focused and on course. Investors must look at the markets from a historical perspective for broader context, and to better understand why it is important to stay the course during both calm and perilous markets.