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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China: Reopening Should Drive Growth
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After a year of anemic growth—by China’s standards—we expect a recovery in Chinese economic activity to gradually take place in 2023. The government has abandoned its zero-COVID policy and re-pivoted to growth, and the reopening, combined with a benign inflationary environment that gives China’s policymakers room to increase stimulus, we believe is a reason for optimism in 2023. That said, major policy questions and geopolitical risks cloud the outlook.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Quick Thoughts: How to avoid making a unicorn skeleton
Curated content for RIAs.
Stephen Dover, Head of Franklin Templeton Institute, crunches the data to decipher the odds of a US recession this year and the implications for investor portfolios.
Portfolio Construction Insights
Focus on Equities: Uncertainty and Volatility Create Opportunity
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Individual stock prices move around much more frequently than business value. At Morningstar Investment Management, we embrace stock price volatility as it provides opportunities to improve our portfolios. We are more optimistic about the long-term outcomes for our portfolios today than we were at the start of 2022. Here's why.
Behavioral Finance
Market Perspective: There are No Rewards Without Risk
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2022 reminded investors of the risk from investing, but none of this makes losses palatable. As the old axiom goes, “there are no rewards without risk.” Here's perspective from Marta Norton, CIO, Americas, Morningstar Investment Management LLC.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Investment Perspective: A Narrowed Path
Two roads diverged in a central bank wood – and the Fed took the one less dovish.
Portfolio Construction Insights
In defense of defensive fixed income: The case for adding duration
Curated content for RIAs.
Senior Portfolio Strategist Lara Reinhard outlines three reasons why investors with the appropriate risk tolerance and objectives might consider adding intermediate-duration bonds back to their fixed income portfolios.
Portfolio Construction Insights
Sinking sentiment: When a bad mood is good news for markets
Curated content for RIAs.
This year, investor sentiment has sunk amid a historically challenging economy. Is consensus now the right place to be, or do investors run the risk of missing out on some of the best long-term buying opportunities?