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Fixed Income Insights
Yield Curve Steepening Likely to Continue
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We expect economic data to improve going into the summer, so we anticipate continued Treasury yield curve steepening.
Fixed Income Insights
Pandemic Pressures Municipal Bond Issuers
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While we expect muni downgrades, the market is likely to remain high quality, with low defaults relative to other bond types.
Fixed Income Insights
Securitized Credit May Be Poised to Rebound
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Securitized credit has lagged the rebound in other assets, but T. Rowe Price believes that areas could outperform as the economy reopens.
Fixed Income Insights
May 2020 Fixed Income Market Update
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In our view, the markets feel much healthier at the end of April than a month ago, but underappreciated in the improved sentiment is not only the scale of March policy action, but its continuation into April. Actions announced in April would ordinarily have remained in headlines and discussion for weeks, but the nearly half trillion dollar U.S. fiscal stimulus package has been treated almost as a footnote to its much larger cousin in March. Similarly, Fed and other central banks not only continued to implement the massive programs initiated last month, but significantly expanded on them.
Fixed Income Insights
Municipal Yields Have Converged
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Over the past several weeks, yields between short- and intermediate-term Municipal Bonds have converged. This may be an opportunity for investors to significantly reduce interest rate risk while sacrificing minimal income since shorter-term bonds typically have less sensitivity to rates.
Fixed Income Insights
Neither bulls nor bears last forever
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While bull markets don’t last forever, neither do bear markets. Since 1928, the strength and duration of S&P 500® bull markets has meaningfully outweighed that of bear markets.
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Fixed Income Insights
Did the Fed just go Minority Report?
We believe the Fed is taking a risk — one we hope works — in shifting from reactive to preemptive monetary policy. It was not that long ago that the Fed was more forthright about the uncertainty inherent in economic forecasting as Chairman Powell used the analogy of walking into a dark room and slowing down to avoid furniture as an analogy for the Fed’s situation. Today, they seem more certain that they know the future and aim to alter it.
Manager & Investment Selection
Is your wholesaler your BESTIE?
Have you ever called your wholesaler when you realized late in the game of planning a client event that you need additional funding?
Manager & Investment Selection
Strategy Series: Strategy Preference Can Indicate Expected Stock Market Return
Rather surprisingly, the equity strategy framework can provide an estimate of current expected stock market returns. This is accomplished by measuring the recent investor response to each strategy, which, it turns out, captures the deep behavioral currents driving market returns. The resulting information is useful when managing equity market exposure.
Manager & Investment Selection
Deep Dive: Manager Research
Join Sophie Gilbert, a Consulting Director at Russell Investments and Kris Nelson, a Senior Research Analysts at Russell Investments, as they explore active money manager research. Listen as they discuss what it is, what it takes to be good at it and how it can help investors.