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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Macro outlook retakes spotlight
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Last week’s U.S. debt ceiling deal removes near-term uncertainty and thrusts the market’s focus back to the macro picture: sticky inflation due to tight labor markets.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Markets now accept rate cuts unlikely
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We’ve been saying since the end of 2022 that rate cuts this year would be unlikely as inflation sticks around.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Public or private? A strategic question
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The banking tumult has reshaped opportunities for income: We now favor private over public credit on a strategic horizon of five years and longer.
Market Outlooks
Is There A Default Playbook?
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In Washington, all attention was focused on the White House yesterday, where congressional leaders met again with President Joe Biden regarding the debt ceiling.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: U.S. debt stand-off to add to volatility
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Negotiations to lift the U.S. debt ceiling are heating up. The Treasury hit the $31.4 trillion “ceiling,” or cap on how much debt it can issue, in January.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Commercial real estate: going granular
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The fastest rate hiking cycle since the 1980s is causing financial cracks. This has caused bank turmoil and raised concerns over U.S. commercial real estate due to its high vacancy rates and reliance on bank loans.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Income in the new macro regime
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Income is back as a portfolio driver as we see interest rates staying high in the new regime of macro and market volatility. We like bonds for income even if we don’t expect them to offset risk-asset slides as much as they did in the past – or gain in price from falling yields.