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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Policy revolution: What’s next?
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Macroeconomic policy has gone through a needed revolution to cushion the coronavirus shock. It essentially aims to “go direct” and is blurring fiscal and monetary policies.
Market Outlooks
BENCHMARK REVIEW & MONTHLY RECAP, MAY 2020
Markets Continue Higher as the Economic Reopening Begins.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: China emerges from virus lockdowns
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China’s economy – the first to enter lockdowns and the first to emerge from them – is restarting. We see the economy likely returning to near-trend growth by late 2020, supported by policy stimulus, especially on the monetary front.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Virus compels a strategic view revamp
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The coronavirus shock is reinforcing structural trends and introducing new ones, such as the policy revolution, surging sustainability wave and accelerating deglobalization. In many ways, the future is arriving fast.
Market Outlooks
Economic Data Reflects Shutdown, but Market Rallies
After one of the worst months and quarters in years, April saw a sharp rebound in equity markets as some of the worst-case COVID-19 scenarios did not materialize.
Market Outlooks
THE BOND BLUES
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The blues have hit the bond market, but we believe current dislocations can create opportunities for active managers of individual bond portfolios.
Market Outlooks
SUNDAY NIGHT SURPRISE
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In attempt to go all in, the Federal Reserve cut rates on Sunday night to the lower bound, 0-0.25% and announced a $700 billion Quantitative Easing (QE) program.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Looking through the market turmoil
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The coronavirus outbreak is set to deliver a sharp and deep economic shock. Market moves are reminiscent of the 2008 crisis, but we don’t think this is a repeat. Stringent containment and social distancing policies will bring economic activity to a near standstill, but provided aggressive fiscal and monetary policy actions are taken to bridge businesses and households through the shock, activity should return rapidly with little permanent economic damage.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Policy response to virus takes shape
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The coronavirus outbreak has continued to roil markets, even as significant monetary policy steps have been taken. Uncertainties related to the outbreak give public health officials a strong incentive to act aggressively to mitigate its human toll. These measures, though temporary in nature, slow economic activity, sometimes precipitously. We believe this will eventually set the scene for a strong rebound, but a decisive policy response is needed to safeguard fundamentals.