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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Policy response to virus takes shape
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The coronavirus outbreak has continued to roil markets, even as significant monetary policy steps have been taken. Uncertainties related to the outbreak give public health officials a strong incentive to act aggressively to mitigate its human toll. These measures, though temporary in nature, slow economic activity, sometimes precipitously. We believe this will eventually set the scene for a strong rebound, but a decisive policy response is needed to safeguard fundamentals.
Market Outlooks
A PERFECT STORM: PANDEMIC, PETROLEUM AND POLITICS
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Stocks were hit hard yesterday as coronavirus fears spread, oil prices plummeted, and uncertainties on the political front continued to linger.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Virus outbreak turns us cautious
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The spread of the coronavirus beyond China has opened up a new global dimension to the epidemic – and potential for a sharper economic drag from efforts to contain it. We expect the economic expansion to remain intact, albeit on a lower track.
Market Outlooks
Coronavirus Fears Wash Away New Market Highs
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Coronavirus fears hit the markets as concerns mount that the virus is now accelerating outside of China with cases growing in South Korea, Italy, Iran, and the United States. Panic set in during Monday’s trading session with the major U.S. stock indices all down over 3% with more than 90% of total volume being to the downside, and the CBOE Volatility Index surging nearly 50%.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Our views on equity style factors
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The coronavirus outbreak has altered market dynamics since late January. One example: Quality has posted more muted gains after strong outperformance in late 2019. We stand by our tactical views on factors for now, including a modest overweight on quality. These are anchored by our outlook that a global growth uptick will likely resume once the outbreak recedes, although the depth and width of the eventual V-shaped recovery are uncertain.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Testing our global outlook
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The February update to our Global Outlook reaffirms our expectation for global growth to edge higher this year, even as the coronavirus outbreak has introduced uncertainties. Past epidemics have seen V-shaped economic recoveries – a pattern we expect see this time as well. Yet the depth and width of the “V” are highly uncertain. This outbreak could be more disruptive than past ones because it could be more severe, and because of greater reliance on global supply chains.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: U.S. equities: we are still neutral
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Market performance since early December has been a story of two phases: Emerging market (EM) equities had rallied and U.S. equities moved in line with global equities until the coronavirus outbreak in late January, reinforcing views in our 2020 Global Outlook.
Market Outlooks
Coronavirus Catalyst
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The World Health Organization has declared the coronavirus a public health emergency. How have past health epidemics impacted the markets? Read Chief Investment Officer Sean Clark's insights.