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Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Global growth, the French election, and the Fed
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Last week was another busy, momentous one. Below, we discuss three key topics: global growth, the French election, and the Federal Reserve’s hawkish comments.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: The differentiated appeal of EM debt
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Inflation and hawkish central bank talk have spooked investors and led to bond losses not seen since the 1980s in developed markets (DMs).
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Inflation, monetary policy, earnings and more
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I entered this industry back in 1995, and I’ve seen a lot over the last 27 or so years — but the last few years have seemed particularly wild. I’m reminded of a line from one of my favorite Grateful Dead songs, “What a long strange trip it’s been.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we still like stocks as yields spike
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Bond yields have sprinted higher on ballooning inflation and hawkish comments by central banks. Yield spikes have often spelled trouble for stocks, but we believe the past is an imperfect guide in a world shaped by supply shocks.
Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #2: USING PROBABILITIES TO AVOID THE LOSERS IN YOUR PORTFOLIO
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Probability plays a key role in many aspects of everyday life, yet many people fail to understand the math that guides it.
Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #1: AN INTRO TO NEW AGE ALPHA
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There is a risk inside your portfolio that you are unaware of that leads to loss and you don’t get paid for taking it.
Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.