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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: New regime fuels narrative flip flops
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We‘re in an unprecedented macro environment that is driving constant shifts in the market narrative: from hopes of avoiding recession to fears good macro news could be bad for markets in just a few months. We see the market moving with data as if we’re in a normal business cycle.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Favoring short-term bonds long term
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Sovereign bond yields have surged this year, with U.S. long-term yields hitting 16-year highs last month. We prefer short-term government bonds over credit. We go underweight high quality credit on a strategic view of five years and longer and trim our overall underweight to sovereign bonds.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise as the Fed leans hawkish
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U.S. Treasury yields rose again as U.S. economic growth remains strong and U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Powell delivered hawkish comments at the Jackson Hole conference.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Post-Jackson, it’s time to start filling duration holes
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With the anticipated end of the U.S. rate hiking cycle as a backdrop, we analyzed the returns of the broad bond market versus short-term Treasuries during historical periods when the Fed paused (Figure 2).
August Webinar: What's the Market Missing?
Recent inflation trends have produced positive market sentiment, but we think global economic difficulties and some overly optimistic views of U.S. earnings growth could set up investors for disappointment. Join our experts as they go beyond the headlines and provide their perspective on what the market is missing, the risks and opportunities, and how we’re positioning to address them.
Market Outlooks
MarketScape: How to Reconcile Dueling Outlooks for U.S. Earnings
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Amid dueling forecasts, we anticipate a slight adjustment in the U.S. equity margins. Gain clarity from Deputy CIO and CIO of Global Equities Michael Hunstad, Ph.D. as he discusses current conditions.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Economic data continue boosting Treasury yields
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10-year U.S. Treasury yields continue to rise as economic data remain very strong. The closely watched U.S. GDP forecast from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta has risen to 5.8% annualized quarter-over-quarter growth.