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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Downgrading government bonds
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We broaden our tactical pro-risk stance in light of major developments since the publication of our 2021 outlook in December: the vaccine rollout and up to $2.8 trillion of additional U.S. fiscal spending this year. Inflation expectations have risen sharply while real rates are steady in negative territory. We prefer equity over credit and turn underweight government bonds – in line with our strategic views.
Leveraging Technology & Data
[Webinar] Think Beyond: Building Your Business with Managed Models
The pandemic has accelerated a shift in market conditions that calls for rethinking portfolio allocations. How you respond could make a big difference for your clients and your business.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Fiscal boost is not a market risk – yet
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The prospect of another large U.S. fiscal package has fed debates about potential economic overheating. We believe central banks for now have strong incentives to lean against any rapid rise in nominal yields even as inflation rises, supporting our tactically pro-risk stance. Yet rising debt levels may eventually pose risks to the low-rate regime. This is part of why we strategically underweight government debt.
Behavioral Finance
GameStop, Reddit, and Robinhood vs. Investing for the Long Run
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Expecting massive, short-term stock price increases is speculation, not investing. At Morningstar Investment Management LLC, we believe recent investing behavior, perhaps exacerbated and amplified by social media, is concerning. Here's why we think this behavior highlights the value of working with an investment professional for sound, long-term financial planning.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we favor tech and healthcare
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The pandemic has turbocharged transformations that were already under way – from sustainability to inequality. Yet markets have not fully priced in the durability of these trends, we believe, even with the glimpse into the future offered by the pandemic.
Portfolio Construction Insights
5 Lessons From 5 Decades of Asset Allocation
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At Morningstar Investment Management, our asset allocation approach has drawn on our research spanning five decades. Some lessons have stood the test of time and continue to inform our thinking today. We unpack five key lessons that we believe are vital to be a great asset allocator today.
Active/Passive Management
The Changing Nature of Active Management
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Research shows that investors need to not only be active to outperform; they need to be patient. President and Global CIO Daniel Needham discusses why we believe the changing nature of active management is an opportunity and an advantage--and how to help investors understand the inherent benefits of staying the course.