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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Debt limit deal: The aftermath
With inflation remaining sticky and the labor market proving extremely resilient, a further policy rate hike is likely from here, while a rate cut this year is almost certainly not in the cards.
Market Outlooks
The risk of too much consensus
A Q&A with Seema Shah, post-2023 Milken Global Conference
Market Outlooks
The case for emerging market debt: Looking abroad for yield
An active, total return approach may offer yield and diversification benefits while also mitigating risk
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
U.S. debt ceiling: Bills borrowing and brinkmanship
Quick takes on capital markets
Market Outlooks
Navigating market risks and opportunities ahead of a recession
With increasing economic uncertainty and market volatility in the first quarter of 2023, the probability of a mild recession beginning in the second half of the year or early next continues to rise.