report by BlackRock
- Filter:
- Clear Filters
- (-) Envestnet
Results for ""
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Humans Fear the Virus. Markets Fear the Panic.
This piece is approved to use with clients.
It seems daily, if not hourly, the global panic surrounding the COVID-19 virus is spiking. Fear has gripped our world and has seemingly taken over. The virus is not the problem, the fear of the virus is the problem. This is a classic case of perception becoming reality.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Are Bonds Smarter Than Stocks?
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Prior to the outbreak of the coronavirus, the domestic economy appeared to be on solid footing with reasonable growth prospects and no inflation in sight (as measured by the Fed). Since that time, economic impacts regarding the spread of the virus have taken center stage as interruptions to supply chains and global travel have been felt to varying degrees around the globe.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: The Sky is Falling! The Sky is Falling!
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Ok, maybe not (yet), but falling acorns in the form of the coronavirus and recent data showing decelerating U.S. business activity has many rethinking their asset allocation – especially income seeking investors.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Small Business Optimism Posts a Third Year of Strong Readings
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Over the past few years I’ve written about trends in small businesses based on the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Survey of Small Business Economic Trends. I follow these trends because I come from a family with multiple generations of small business owners and small companies in the United States create about two-thirds of net new jobs, drive innovation and account for 44% of U.S. economic activity.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Coronavirus and Domestic Credit
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The last recession was the sub-prime mortgage crisis, before that the dot.com bubble aggravated by the 9/11 terrorist attacks, and before that it was the Savings & Loan crisis. In these past recessions there were, at the time, issues not generally foreseen, but when they broke it opened fissures in the economy that ultimately led to a recession.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Economic Indicators Suggest President Trump's Reelection
This piece is approved to use with clients.
In testimony on Capitol Hill this week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell repeatedly praised the strength of the U.S. economy across multiple indicators. He pointed to an historically-low unemployment rate, rising wages, and continual, moderate overall growth. Powell has a notably turbulent relationship with President Donald Trump, but his assessment should have been music to the ears of top White House and Trump campaign officials (even if the president could not help live-Tweeting his criticism of Powell’s testimony). The economy, after all, is historically perhaps the most reliable presidential election indicator.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Is Recent Bond Market Volatility About More Than Easing Coronavirus Fears?
This piece is approved to use with clients.
As fear gives way to resolve and markets assess the potential economic impact of the coronavirus, a risk on mentality has taken hold with global equity markets taking back losses and global bond markets selling off in concert. While these fears are sometimes a bit irrational, the Center for Disease Control and Prevention estimates 12,000-61,000 Americans have died from influenza since 2010, there is no doubt we can all understand the underlying fear.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The End of the Caucus?
So that didn’t go as planned. While politicos inside the Beltway and across the country were expecting to get our first real results in the Democratic presidential primary last night, problems with tallying the vote in Iowa have caused a significant delay in reporting the results. In a story posted yesterday, The Associated Press reported Iowa Democratic Party officials had promised that “an early issue with a mobile app designed to report results” would “not hinder the Iowa caucus process.”
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Current Events Overshadowing a Nascent Recovery
This piece is approved to use with clients.
While we have previously mentioned, I feel it is important to revisit the race between the results of the FOMC’s (Federal Open Market Committee) model-driven restrictive policy in 2018 and the potential recovery borne of the Fed’s 2019 mea culpa.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Do Endorsements Matter? No … and Yes
Last year, we looked at how accurate polls going into the Iowa Caucus have been at predicting the eventual outcome of that state’s first-in-the-nation election. The conclusion, way back then, was that surveys conducted a few months out from voting have not historically been very good at telling us who was going to win.