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Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise as the Fed upgrades its outlook
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10-year U.S. Treasury yields rose another 10 basis points (bps) last week, the seventh consecutive weekly increase, and are now up 65 bps over that period. The Federal Reserve (Fed) upgraded its economic forecasts but maintained its commitment to keep rates at zero over the medium term, pushing long-term interest rates higher.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Expect volatility as the focus returns to the Fed
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Equity markets fell last week driven by investors’ reaction to the Federal Reserve meeting, which underscored expectations for a strong economic recovery, but did little to quell fears over rising inflation and bond yields.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise again, with brightening economic outlook
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U.S. Treasury yields rose again last week, though risk assets stabilized. Lower-rated credit outperformed and emerging markets saw renewed investor demand.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Seven reasons I expect a powerful US economic recovery in 2021.
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I periodically walk into stores to get a sense of how the US economy is doing. This past weekend I walked into a car dealership in my area. I chatted with a car salesman who has worked in the industry for more than 50 years. He shared that this is a very strange economic environment — car purchases have increased (he had already sold four cars that day), but so have the number of people stopping by to see if there are any job openings, who say they’ve been out of work for six or nine months.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: A rates-driven correction creates opportunities in growth stocks
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Equity markets saw gains as Treasury yields stabilized early last week.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Stocks were hit last week in the face of inflation fears, but I believe it was a temporary adjustment to a rise in rates.
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Last week was what I would call a “Rip Van Winkle” week. Set in the colonial days of America, Rip Van Winkle is the story of a man who, sick of his wife, decides to go for a hike in the mountains with his dog. He meets a group of strange men who offer him an unusual drink, causing him to fall asleep.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Concern over rising rates persists
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Equities struggled with another week of volatility driven by elevated rates. The S&P 500 finished in positive territory (+0.8%) thanks to a couple of daily gains of 2% or more, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 2.1%.