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Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Risk-off sentiment drives Treasury yields lower
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U.S. Treasury yields declined last week, led by longer maturities. Risk sentiment deteriorated, with investors concerned about a potential no-deal Brexit, rising coronavirus cases and waning prospects for additional U.S. fiscal stimulus. This week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting is not expected to result in any policy shifts, but the Fed could extend the maturity of its Treasury purchases.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Rising virus cases take a toll on the economy and markets
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Stock markets again hit record highs early last week on optimism surrounding vaccine approvals, but momentum trailed off as attention shifted toward the breakdown in fiscal stimulus negotiations and rising global economic restrictions. The S&P 500 Index was down 1% for the week, but small cap stocks advanced for the sixth consecutive week. Among sectors, only energy and telecommunications made it into positive territory, with the REITs and financial sectors faring the worst.
Market Outlooks
Global Investment Committee 2021 outlook: Dark tunnel. Bright light.
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Nuveen’s Global Investment Committee offer perspective about where we are, suggest five portfolio construction themes and provide thoughts about where we might be heading.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise on prospects for stimulus
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Long U.S. Treasury yields increased sharply last week, while shorter-maturity yields were little changed. Prospects for additional U.S. fiscal stimulus, boosted by weaker-than-expected employment data, provided investors with hope that a new federal aid package would lift future growth. Concerns remain over short-term virus-related challenges, however.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Western economies may get worse before they get better
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While I have never lived in Florida, I have spent enough time there since childhood to be familiar with a weather phenomenon referred to as “the mean season.” It describes a brutal weather pattern that typically occurs in the late summer months.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: For stocks, the long-term outlook is better than the near-term
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Stock prices rose again last week, as investor optimism over vaccine prospects continues to push investor sentiment higher. The S&P 500 Index advanced 1.7%, with value styles modestly outperforming growth (although all areas had pockets of strength and weakness).
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: We present a base case, an upside case, and a downside case for our 2021 global market outlook
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Every year at this time, we issue our global market outlook for the coming year. That exercise is especially complex at this moment — the shape of economic growth in 2021 is dependent on a wide variety of factors, including infection rates, fiscal policy, monetary policy, public health policy (including the severity — or “stringency” — of lockdowns), progress toward the development of COVID-19 therapies and vaccines, and consumer and business confidence.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Positive risk sentiment buoys Treasury yields
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Long U.S. Treasury yields ended modestly higher, while shorter maturity yields were nearly unchanged to slightly lower. Investors were optimistic about continued progress toward a coronavirus vaccine and an orderly transfer of U.S. political power. In reference to its asset-purchase programs, the Federal Reserve (Fed) acknowledged, “…circumstances could shift to warrant such adjustments.”