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Weekly Market Compass: Talking tariffs - New tolls threaten to further strain US-China relations
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Last week took investors on a roller coaster ride. The climax came at the stroke of midnight on Friday, May 10, when US President Donald Trump’s newest tariffs went into effect — a 25% toll on $200 billion of Chinese goods. Then later on Friday, the negotiations ended with no material progress, and there are no formal plans to resume talks. What’s more, China retaliated the morning of May 13 by announcing tariffs on US goods being imported to China.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Trade issues spark renewed economic and market uncertainty
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U.S. equity markets fell more than 2% last week, posting their worst weekly performance of 2019. The breakdown in U.S./China trade negotiations, combined with President Trump’s announcement of new tariffs, roiled the markets. Investors also expressed concerns over broader geopolitical tensions, further dampening sentiment. For the week, technology was the worst-performing area of the market, while consumer staples fared relatively better.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yield curve flattens as the Fed remains steady
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Shorter U.S. Treasury yields rose while the 30-year yield fell slightly last week, causing the yield curve to flatten. The Federal Reserve (Fed) made no changes to monetary policy last week, and Chair Jerome Powell’s comments seemed to support the view that the Fed has no clear bias toward a cut or hike as its next move.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Threats of fresh tariffs on Chinese goods suggests short-term volatility
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US-China trade talks have taken a turn for the worse in the last several days and may temporarily go off the rails.
It all started when President Trump threatened to increase the level of tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods to 25% by May 10, asserting that China is taking too long in the negotiations and is attempting to “renegotiate.” He also threatened to place 25% tariffs on additional goods. Now China, in response, is threatening to cancel trade negotiations planned for this week between the US and China.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: With stocks again at record highs, where do we go from here?
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A rally on Friday helped stock markets finish slightly higher for the week. Investors were cheered by a stronger-than-expected jobs report, which showed the U.S. economy is continuing to improve. Corporate earnings news was also generally good, which helped sentiment. For the week, the S&P 500 Index rose 0.2%.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields decline on global growth concerns
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U.S. Treasury yields declined across all maturities last week, led by the short end of the yield curve. Weak economic data in Europe triggered the mid-week decrease, although Treasury yields declined less than European yields. The decline continued Friday with U.S. GDP data showing underlying weakness. The Federal Reserve (Fed) meets this week, but we don’t expect any significant news.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields remain steady in a quiet week
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U.S. Treasury yields fell slightly during in a holiday-shortened week. The biggest movement came on Tuesday, with a just over 3 basis points (bps) increase in the 10-year maturity, after stronger-than-expected data from China. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is still not committed to a specific path for interest rates, and the market is not expecting a hike in 2019.