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Market Outlooks
The strangest recession in history
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Numbers are still pretty awful; the consumers' moods aren't.
Fixed Income Insights
For fixed income, it's a tale of two walls
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A wall of worry vs. a wall of liquidity is limiting back-half options.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: China’s ability to contain COVID-19 boosts longer-term confidence
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Last week, we saw increases in both the Chinese and US stock markets.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: How long can economic data improve while infections continue to spread?
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Last week, the US issued its employment situation report for June. For the second month in a row it was an impressive report, handily beating expectations in terms of both non-farm payroll growth and the unemployment rate.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: A region-by-region look at our expectations for the remainder of 2020
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The first half of 2020 has been unexpected, to say the very least. Our outlook for the year quickly became obsolete with the rapid spread of COVID-19 and accompanying lockdowns across the globe, which have stymied economic activity and caused an unprecedented destruction of demand.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Evaluating the positive and negative signs over the past week
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Two weeks ago, I wrote about some burgeoning “green shoots” that offered early, encouraging signs of economic recovery around the world.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Powell pledges to support the economy, but notes more Congressional help may be needed
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Last week saw a massive sell-off for stocks globally. The initial trigger seems to have come from US Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell’s press conference following the June 9-10 meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Encouraging signs were seen in job creation, manufacturing and service activity, and auto sales
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The last time I used the term “green shoots” was the late spring and summer of 2009.
Market Outlooks
The strange irony of Covid-19
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The pandemic is exposing opportunities and the benefits of active management.
Portfolio Construction Insights
In search of tomorrow's winning stocks
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The approach is the same regardless of the environment.
Fixed Income Insights
Entry points for emerging markets
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Attractive valuations exist across IG and high-yield credit segments.
Investing Ideas
The ESG emperor has clothes
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In times of crisis, human capital and stewardship matter even more.