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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Upgrading our broad U.S. stocks view
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Excitement over artificial intelligence (AI) spurred a rally in U.S. tech stocks that buoyed the market in 2023. We’ve said the rally can run for now – and broaden out.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Geopolitical fragmentation plays out
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Geopolitical fragmentation, one of five mega forces or structural shifts we track, is playing out in recent events in Asia and the Middle East. Yemen’s Houthi militants attacking Red Sea shipping highlights how hot spots can hit supply chains and up production costs.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why stocks can stay upbeat, for now
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Equity markets – and even the Federal Reserve – have largely embraced the soft landing narrative that inflation will fall to the Fed’s 2% target without a recession.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Navigating macro currents in 2024
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Risk assets ended 2023 on an upbeat note as the Fed appeared to make a big bet on inflation coming down and growth only gradually slowing. Markets interpreted the Fed's messaging as a green light for aggressive policy easing.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Three 2023 lessons we carry into 2024
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We take three lessons from 2023 to shape our investment approach in the new year. First, markets flipflopping between macro narratives does not reveal new information about where we will end up.
Market Outlooks
Survey: How Treasurers Are Positioning Cash with Possible 2024 Rate Volatility
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Treasurers, likely seeking to diversify their cash holdings to navigate rate and market uncertainty, are looking to money market funds, short-term bonds and ESG funds among others.
Market Outlooks
S&P 500 Index Rebalance: Uber Addition Boosts Weight of Transportation
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The addition of rideshare company Uber to the S&P 500 index notably impacted the sector and industry composition.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
A Big 2024 To-Do List, But History Shows Congress Won’t Do Much
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The first session of the 118th Congress is in the books.
Market Outlooks
What the U.S. Equity Rally Means for Tax Planning
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We analyze how investors can harvest losses in a robust stock market
Market Outlooks
What Happens if Investors Remove China from Emerging Markets and Global Indexes
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An analysis of risk, return, geography and sectors.
Market Outlooks
U.S. Jobs Report Spurs Yields, Central Banks Expected to Maintain Steady Rates
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Companies added more jobs than expected in November, though job openings are declining. Central banks in the U.S., U.K. and Europe meet this week.
Market Outlooks
MarketScapes: Transitioning Carefully
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The Fed’s latest policy statement seems to suggest they are carefully transitioning from the question of when to stop raising rates to when to start cutting them, with an eye on inflation and growth.