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Market Outlooks
Advisor Perspectives: CAPE is a Very Noisy Market Predictor
Analysts have many ways to estimate expected market returns. The challenge is to identify those few that provide usable information for making investment decisions. In this article, I discuss one of the common mistakes made in this type of analysis and why the cyclically adjusted PE (CAPE), developed by Robert Shiller, is not nearly as reliable a predictor of market returns as most claim it to be.
Market Outlooks
Behavioural Advisor: Beware Predictions and Magic Elixirs
The market and economy have gone through unprecedented events with a global pandemic, the shut-down of economies, massive government intervention and dramatic market swings.
Active/Passive Management
Advisor Perspectives: The Dawn of a New Active-Equity Era
Is the market environment turning favorable for active equity managers? It seems a strange question to ask in the midst of a pandemic and heightened market volatility, but history tells us that it is during just such turbulent times that active managers excel. There is accumulating evidence that market conditions are growing more attractive for showcasing stock-picking skills.
Behavioral Finance
Invest for The Decade, Not the Year
Sharing helpful data like decade-returns of the market can motivate investors to focus on the long-term and avoid costly behavioral mistakes.
Market Outlooks
The Government Responds with Extraordinary Measures
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The Federal Reserve and Washington lawmakers have taken dramatic steps to counteract the effects of the COVID-19 virus on the economy.
Market Outlooks
Second Quarter 2020 Quarterly Market Update
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Fidelity's Asset Allocation Research Team (AART) examines major themes in global financial markets and presents its investment outlook in this quarterly market update.
Market Outlooks
Transamerica: Make The Most Of Your Legacy
Using Transamerica's annuities in irrevocable trusts
Portfolio Construction Insights
Nationwide: Valuing annuity benefits for required minimum distribution and Roth conversions purposes
When deferred annuities are owned by qualified accounts these guarantees must be taken into account when calculating required
minimum distributions (RMD) and the taxable amount of a Roth IRA conversion.
Market Outlooks
Nationwide: Relief for small businesses
In March 2020, three important pieces of legislation were signed into law in response to the novel coronavirus pandemic.